Category Archives: Economy & Finance

Investing & Love

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Filed under Economy & Finance, Investing

What is the relation between love and investing?

Here might be some excerpt that can tell about that.

Economics is the study of the allocation of scarce goods and services. What could be scarcer or more precious than love? It is rare, hard to come by and often fragile.

All right, next …

High-quality bonds consistently yield more return than junk, and so it is with high-quality love. As for the returns on bonds, I know that my comment will come as a surprise to people who have been brainwashed into thinking that junk bonds are free money. They aren’t. The data from the maven of bond research, W. Braddock Hickman, shows that junk debt outperforms high quality only in rare situations, because of the default risk.

In love, the data is even clearer. Stay with high-quality human beings. And once you find that you are in a junk relationship, sell immediately. Junk situations can look appealing and seductive, but junk is junk. Be wary of it unless you control the market.

and also …

Long-term investment pays off. The impatient day player will fare poorly without inside information or market-controlling power. He or she will have a few good days but years of agony in the world of love.

To coin a phrase: Fall in love in haste, repent at leisure.

Read more about Lessons in Love, by Way of Economics here.

Oil Price Soar

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Filed under Economy & Finance

From Yahoo Finance:

Oil rises above $144 on US supply drop
Oil soared to a record above $144 a barrel Thursday in Asia, fueled by concerns over a larger-than-expected drop in U.S. stockpiles and the threat of conflict with Iran.

Now, everybody is worrying. But in some place, somewhere, a group of people is really happy with this situation. Er.. maybe ;)

From Mr S. Dali of Malaysia-Finance:

Its now an official game of blame. Who is responsible for the current price of oil at US140 per barrel.

Big Oil Companies (when doing their PR in their home countries): They will blame speculators for driving up oil prices. As they are spreading propaganda to the general public, they have to divert attention from themselves. The big oil companies fear that their own government will whack them with big windfall tax on their earnings.

Big Oil Companies (at major international conferences): When they are away from their home ground, they will blame the situation on inadequate supply. They will blame it on countries with supposed oil reserves. The big oil companies want the international spotlight on these countries so that these countries will be pressured to open up their locations to allow more joint ventures with big oil companies.

OPEC: They do not want to be pressured to pump more oil. Their blame game is back on the speculators. They also rather focus the increase in demand side, and would state that their supply growth is steady. Just because demand is rising faster than OPEC’s supply, that is not OPEC’s fault. They would try to deflect criticism on the demand side, including China and other emerging markets.

Countries Cutting Oil Subsidy: They would have to blame it on speculators or something external so that the decision would seem to be forced upon them, when it was bad planning to start with. Many of these countries should have been weaned off subsidies long before the proverbial stuff hit the fan.

Speculators: Well, they would want to be regarded as investors now, now that they are taking along their profits on such a good thing. Careers and fortunes have been made by just going long on oil for the past 3 years. They claim that since they have been going long, taking profit, and going long some more, they should be classified as investors - even though they now account for the majority of futures trade in oil, and have no bloody intention to consume.

Oil & Gas Companies: They provide the equipment and physical asets to allow for more drilling, they don’t care who is to be blamed for the oil price surge. The higher the price, the greater the number of jobs as more difficult wells become viable and more complex technologies are employed.

Political Pundits: Mostly arguing that oil had been kept artificially low by US interests for far too long, and now thanks to the debilitating economic conditions in the US (hence USD) and a more liberal global political landscape, oil is finding its true mean.

Traditional Economists: Its a simple demand and supply equation. Not so much that supply is unable to match demand, but rather that the low hanging fruits, the easy oil has all been harvested and identified. The higher price of oil basically means the market is forcing players to spend more, invest more to find the more difficult oil.

Libya, Cuba, North Korea: Its another American conspiracy.

Buffett says recession may be worse than feared

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Filed under Economy & Finance

Billionaire investor thinks downturn may last longer

NEW YORK - Warren Buffett, the world’s richest person, said on Monday the U.S. economy is in a recession that will be more severe than most people expect.

Buffett made his comments on CNBC television after his Berkshire Hathaway Inc. agreed to invest $6.5 billion in the takeover of chewing gum maker Wm. Wrigley Jr. Co. by Mars Inc. in a $23 billion transaction.

“This is not a field of specialty for me, but my general feeling is that the recession will be longer and deeper than most people think,” Buffett said. “This will not be short and shallow.

“I think consumers are feeling gas and food prices,” he added, “and not feeling they’ve got a lot of money for other things.”

He was not immediately available for further comment. Known for his frugality, the 77-year-old Buffett has lived in the same 10-room Omaha, Neb. house for a half-century, despite being worth an estimated $62 billion.

On Wednesday, the U.S. Commerce Department is expected to say how fast the economy grew in the first quarter. Economists on average have projected that gross domestic product grew at an annualized 0.2 percent rate in the quarter.

Two quarters of declining GDP is a traditional indicator of recession. That last happened in 2001. Economists expect the U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday to cut a key lending rate for a seventh time beginning last September.

Berkshire is a $197 billion conglomerate best known for its insurance holdings, such as auto insurer Geico Corp, but it owns more than 70 businesses.

Many of those businesses are tied to the housing market, including Acme Brick Co, insulation maker Johns Manville, and the real estate brokerage HomeServices of America Inc.

Others depend on consumers to spend more on discretionary items, such as Ben Bridge Jeweler and Borsheims Fine Jewelry.

“In the retail businesses … if anything, they’ve gotten a little worse,” Buffett said. “Of course, things connected with housing, whether it’s in brick or whether it’s in carpet, those businesses have shown no uptick at all. Jewelry had a bad Christmas … and it stayed that way.”

Buffett sees no respite from the housing slump.

“I think this is going to be fairly long and fairly deep, but who knows,” he said.

In March, Forbes magazine pegged Buffett’s net worth at $62 billion, ahead of Mexican tycoon Carlos Slim’s $60 billion and Microsoft Corp. Chairman Bill Gates’s $58 billion. Gates is a friend of Buffett and a Berkshire director.

Copyright 2008 Reuters

What is Microcredit?

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Filed under Economy & Finance

It is interesting that in Islam, charity is given 10x rewards and benevolent loan - qardhul hassan is given 18x rewards. The reason is simple, the loanee will not ask for a loan except he is in monetary trouble.

So, when Muhammad Yunus of Grameen Bank stated that credit is a human right, it do make sense. Why conventional banks stops or hardened the poor and needy people from credit facilities and they are willingly to give a huge amount of loans to the rich people?

The answer because conventional banks operates on riba’. They make profit mainly from credits and loans. When credits become a business, then riba’ could easily occurs.

In the previous post, it has been stated that it is the system that creates poverty. Poor people don’t create it. And you may want to read the article on microcredit from Muhammad Yunus himself.

What is Microcredit ?  

The word “microcredit” did not exist before the seventies. Now it has become a buzz-word among the development practitioners. In the process, the word has been imputed to mean everything to everybody. No one now gets shocked if somebody uses the term “microcredit” to mean agricultural credit, or rural credit, or cooperative credit, or consumer credit, credit from the savings and loan associations, or from credit unions, or from money lenders. When someone claims microcredit has a thousand year history, or a hundred year history, nobody finds it as an exciting piece of historical information.

Read the full article here

Poverty is caused by the system

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Filed under Economy & Finance

Poverty is not caused by the poor people. Poverty is caused by the system we built - Per Muhammad Yunus, Founder of Grameen Bank.

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